F-13 · What AI Saves

When does AI make work slower or worse?

On tasks the AI handles poorly, controlled studies find results 14 to 25 percent worse: consultants using GPT-4 gave fewer correct answers, and experienced developers took 19 percent longer. No study measures how often this happens across all AI-assisted work.

14–25% worse on tasks the AI handles poorly (points fewer correct answers, or percent more time)
  • Medium confidence
  • 3 primary sources
  • 2025 to 2026
  • Last checked

Every study on one scale

Chart of how much worse (points fewer correct, or % more time): Dell'Acqua et al., BCG 13.9–24.5 points fewer correct; METR 19% more time; UK DBT, Excel task about 22% more time. Shaded range 14–25. 14–25 0 10 20 30 Dell'Acqua et al., BCG, 2026 13.9–24.5 points fewer correct METR, 2025 19% more time UK DBT, Excel task, 2025 about 22% more time
Shaded: 14–25 One figure A range in one study
Chart values as text
  • Scale: how much worse (points fewer correct, or % more time). Shaded range: 14–25.
  • Dell'Acqua et al., BCG (2026): 13.9–24.5 points fewer correct
  • METR (2025): 19% more time
  • UK DBT, Excel task (2025): about 22% more time

Why medium confidence: Three independent creators with different designs each found a penalty in this band on some tasks. Each measures a different outcome, one study has only 3 people per group, and none answers how often it happens across all work.

Sources

Sources for F-13
StudyCreatorYearSampleMethodFigureLink
Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier (Organization Science) Fabrizio Dell'Acqua, Ethan Mollick, Karim R. Lakhani and colleagues, with Boston Consulting Group 2026 758 BCG consultants; the outside-the-frontier task was run with a subset Preregistered randomized experiment. One business case was chosen so GPT-4 would give a plausible but wrong answer. 84.5% correct without AI, 70.6% and 60% with AI: 13.9 and 24.5 points fewer correct answers, while spending less time
Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity Joel Becker, Nate Rush, Beth Barnes and David Rein (METR) 2025 16 experienced developers, 246 tasks in mature open-source projects Randomized at the task level, February to June 2025, with screen recordings 19% more time per task with AI; developers accepted under 44% of AI suggestions and spent more time prompting, waiting and reviewing “we find that allowing AI actually increases completion time by 19%”
The Evaluation of the M365 Copilot Pilot in the Department for Business and Trade UK Department for Business and Trade 2025 11 civil servants observed, 3 per group on the Excel task Timed and blind-graded fictional tasks with matched colleagues as controls, late 2024. The authors warn the samples are very small. Excel analysis took 25:01 with Copilot against 20:33 without, with lower accuracy (1.5 against 2.7 out of 5) “M365 Copilot users completed Excel data analysis more slowly and to a worse quality”
Rework Low confidence

How much of the time AI saves goes into fixing its output?

Nearly 40 percent, by AI users' own account in one vendor survey: Workday's November 2025 survey of 3,200 AI users at large firms. Only 14% said they consistently get clearly positive results. In a 2024 Upwork survey, 77% of employees who use AI said it had added to their workload in some way, and 39% spend more time reviewing AI output.

How much of the time AI saves goes into fixing its output?
StudyCreatorYearSampleMethodFigureLink
Beyond Productivity: Measuring the Real Value of AI Workday, survey by Hanover Research 2026 3,200 full-time employees who use AI, at organizations with $100 million or more in revenue Online survey, November 2025, self-reported. Read in Workday's press release; the full report is gated. Workday sells AI products. Nearly 40% of AI time savings lost to rework; 14% consistently get clear net-positive results “Nearly 40% of AI time savings are lost to rework”
From Burnout to Balance: AI-Enhanced Work Models Upwork Research Institute with Workplace Intelligence 2024 2,500 respondents in the US, UK, Australia and Canada, including 625 full-time employees Online survey, April to May 2024, self-reported. Read in Upwork's press release. Upwork sells freelance talent. 77% of employees who use AI say it added to their workload; 39% spend more time reviewing AI content “77% of employees using AI say these tools have added to their workload”
Software delivery

Does AI make software delivery less stable?

Google's DORA surveys link wider AI adoption to less stable software delivery, in both 2024 and 2025. In 2025 the link to throughput turned positive while the stability link held. These are statistical associations from surveys of technology professionals and do not show cause.

Does AI make software delivery less stable?
StudyCreatorYearSampleMethodFigureLink
2025 DORA Report: State of AI-assisted Software Development Google Cloud DORA 2025 Nearly 5,000 technology professionals Annual survey with statistical modeling. Read in Google Cloud's announcement posts for 2024 and 2025. AI adoption linked to lower software delivery stability; 30% report little or no trust in AI-generated code “AI adoption does continue to have a negative relationship with software delivery stability”

Numbers you may have seen

These figures circulate widely. Here is what the original source says.

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